Broad Market Indicator #4: NYSE Advance Decline (A-D) Line
The 4th Indicator is a comparison of the movement of the DOW (DJIA) to
the Advance-Decline line of the NYSE. The NYSE A-D line measures the
number of stocks advancing versus declining on a weekly basis. We are
looking to see if the Dow and the NYSE A-D are moving in convergence or
divergence. When the DOW goes up but the NYSE A-D line goes down, it is
an indication that investors are moving into safer stocks (DOW) as the
DOW tends to have blue-chip companies.
Here is Barron's chart plotting the NYSE against the DOW. I added the red boxes to show where the DOW moved up while the NYSE AD moved down, ominous signs!
You can follow Barron's chart at this link.
You can see the breakdown signal that occurred in August prior to the latest market correction. We will need to wait and see if we are about to go back down again for a period of time.
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